Sporting Braga 1-0 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 15 Dec 2025

📅15/12/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.6
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.86
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
18.9
X/1
21%
3.69
X/2
5%
13.7
X/X
9%
4.88
2/1
14%
29.0
2/2
7%
13.2
2/X
6%
22.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
+0.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.92/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.81
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +27%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
24.2 Crosses 12.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Santa Clara
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.94 xG 1.16
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
492 Passes 228
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2025 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 5-0 HT 2-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara PORLC
03.05.2025 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
22.12.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
14.05.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 5-3 HT 3-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
05.01.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-4 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
28.02.2022 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga
1-0
AWAY Santa Clara
0.85 xG 0.57
67% Ball Possession 33%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
703 Passes 304
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga nicked a narrow win over Santa Clara 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Braga as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sporting Braga had 67% of the ball to Santa Clara's 33%, shots finished 6-5, expected goals 0.85 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Sporting Braga and 0.67 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Santa Clara?

Sporting Braga 1-0 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 15/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 63%, draw 21%, Santa Clara 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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