16/01/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
3-1
Winterthur vs Rapperswil Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
19%
Draw
14%
18%
Away Win
8%
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
48%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Winterthur v Rapperswil — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Winterthur
EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY
Rapperswil
EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-2%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+12%
/
-55%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
16
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
482 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
270 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Winterthur vs Rapperswil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Winterthur cruised past Rapperswil 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Winterthur as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.
What was the final score of Winterthur vs Rapperswil?
Winterthur 4-0 Rapperswil in the Friendlies on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Rapperswil?
Before kick-off our model rated a Winterthur win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 63%, draw 19%, Rapperswil 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Winterthur), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Winterthur)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
16 Jan 2024