CS Herediano 4-1 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 16 Jan 2025

📅16/01/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.29
No
47%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
40%
+13.4pp
47%
BTTS No
60%
-13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +25%
2.12/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.68
+6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 186 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Guanacasteca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.11.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
28.07.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
23.04.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-2 HT 0-2 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
19.02.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
16.11.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
13.08.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
4-1
AWAY Guanacasteca
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano cruised past Guanacasteca 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CS Herediano had 71% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 29%, shots finished 19-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CS Herediano and 1.00 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Guanacasteca?

CS Herediano 4-1 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 16/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 56%, draw 25%, Guanacasteca 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
16 Jan 2025
01:00 Santos de Guapiles vs San Carlos Analysis →
02:00 Santa Ana vs Puntarenas FC Analysis →