Santos de Guapiles 1-1 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 16 Jan 2025

📅16/01/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +24%
1.58/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.21
+14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
0W-2D-4L
AWAY San Carlos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Corners 6
24.09.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 2-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
21.08.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTK
18.08.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-4 HT 0-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
28.02.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 4-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
17.01.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-4 HT 0-2 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
09.11.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-2 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos de Guapiles and San Carlos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 2.67 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs San Carlos?

Santos de Guapiles 1-1 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 16/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos de Guapiles win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 37%, draw 29%, San Carlos 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santos de Guapiles) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos de Guapiles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
16 Jan 2025
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