Dijon 2-0 Le Puy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 Jan 2026

Dijon
2-0 HT 0-0
Le Puy
📅16/01/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
22%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.62
6+ Goals
12%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.96
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
18%
4.86
X/2
8%
7.04
X/X
10%
4.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
2/2
9%
5.25
2/X
9%
14.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
45%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
22%
Away Win
28%
-6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Puy EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.34/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.12
-3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon
2-0
AWAY Le Puy
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dijon vs Le Puy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon beat Le Puy 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dijon as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dijon had 58% of the ball to Le Puy's 42%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of Dijon vs Le Puy?

Dijon 2-0 Le Puy in the France - National League 1 on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon vs Le Puy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dijon 52%, draw 26%, Le Puy 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dijon) ✗ BTTS Yes
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