Sochaux 1-0 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 Jan 2026

📅16/01/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 32% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.33
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
13%
4.24
X/2
5%
9.07
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
10%
24.85
2/2
11%
7.47
2/X
6%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.27/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.24
-24% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Chateauroux
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.94 xG 0.85
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
257 Passes 446
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.04.2025 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-0 HT 1-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
06.12.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 2-2 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
22.03.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 0-2 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
11.10.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
13.03.2021 Sochaux Sochaux 0-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
21.11.2020 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-1 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sochaux
1-0
AWAY Chateauroux
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux nicked a narrow win over Chateauroux 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sochaux as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sochaux had 59% of the ball to Chateauroux's 41%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chateauroux led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sochaux and 1.33 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Chateauroux?

Sochaux 1-0 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 53%, draw 26%, Chateauroux 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sochaux), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sochaux) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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