Concarneau 3-3 Caen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 Jan 2026

📅16/01/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.28
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
13%
5.72
X/2
11%
5.34
X/X
16%
4.0
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.85
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Caen EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.55/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.67
+31% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Caen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.65 xG 1.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
533 Passes 352
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.01.2024 Caen Caen 1-0 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR2
19.08.2023 Concarneau Concarneau 0-2 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
14.07.2018 Caen Caen 0-0 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
3-3
AWAY Caen
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Caen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau and Caen shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Concarneau had 51% of the ball to Caen's 49%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Caen led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Concarneau and 1.00 for Caen.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Caen?

Concarneau 3-3 Caen in the France - National League 1 on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Caen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 34%, draw 31%, Caen 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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