Aubagne 1-1 Paris 13 Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 Jan 2026

📅16/01/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.47
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.42
6+ Goals
6%
23.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.43
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
12%
5.08
X/2
9%
6.42
X/X
19%
3.93
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
19%
4.93
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -12%
1.59/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.49
+26% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubagne
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.04.2025 Aubagne Aubagne 1-1 HT 0-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
22.11.2024 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-0 HT 0-0 Aubagne Aubagne FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aubagne
1-1
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aubagne vs Paris 13 Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubagne and Paris 13 Atletico couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Aubagne had 59% of the ball to Paris 13 Atletico's 41%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paris 13 Atletico led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aubagne and 1.00 for Paris 13 Atletico.

What was the final score of Aubagne vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Aubagne 1-1 Paris 13 Atletico in the France - National League 1 on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubagne win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 36%, draw 32%, Paris 13 Atletico 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aubagne), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubagne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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