Catania 1-1 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.36
2-3 Goals
35%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.49
6+ Goals
10%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.34/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.81
-16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +66%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Casertana
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Casertana Casertana 1-3 HT 1-1 Catania Catania İTC
11.02.2024 Catania Catania 0-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
01.10.2023 Casertana Casertana 0-4 HT 0-2 Catania Catania İTC
25.04.2021 Catania Catania 3-0 HT 2-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
10.01.2021 Casertana Casertana 3-2 HT 1-1 Catania Catania İTC
24.11.2019 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
1-1
AWAY Casertana
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Catania vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania and Casertana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Catania at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Catania had 49% of the ball to Casertana's 51%, shots finished 4-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catania had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Catania and 0.83 for Casertana.

What was the final score of Catania vs Casertana?

Catania 1-1 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Catania 44%, draw 30%, Casertana 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Catania), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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