Alajuelense 1-0 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.1
Over 2.5
62%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.19
No
47%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-11.7pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.9pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.2pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
2.32/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.20
+11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
462 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Guanacasteca
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
08.09.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-0 HT 3-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
13.05.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 5-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
11.03.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-0 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
26.11.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-4 HT 0-3 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
15.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
1-0
AWAY Guanacasteca
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 0
7 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense edged past Guanacasteca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alajuelense had 66% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 34%, shots finished 12-0.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Alajuelense and 1.33 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Guanacasteca?

Alajuelense 1-0 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 62%, draw 21%, Guanacasteca 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
16 Feb 2025
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