Olimpija Ljubljana 3-0 Nafta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
27%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.4pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Nafta EU Bookmakers 16%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.06/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/2.83
-7% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / -28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Nafta
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Nafta Nafta 0-1 HT 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
05.08.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 HT 1-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
08.03.2023 Nafta Nafta 1-3 HT 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVNK
28.04.2021 Nafta Nafta 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
3-0
AWAY Nafta
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana swept aside Nafta 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 67% of the ball to Nafta's 33%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 0.25 for Nafta.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta?

Olimpija Ljubljana 3-0 Nafta in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 57%, draw 24%, Nafta 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
16 Feb 2025
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