Mura 0-0 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2025

Mura
0-0 HT 0-0
Celje
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.59
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
7%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 29% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 52%
+7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.29/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.01
+29% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Celje
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Celje Celje 4-3 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
03.08.2024 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
06.04.2024 Mura Mura 1-3 HT 1-2 Celje Celje SLVN
11.02.2024 Celje Celje 4-1 HT 2-1 Mura Mura SLVN
30.09.2023 Mura Mura 0-2 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
30.07.2023 Celje Celje 5-0 HT 2-0 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
0-0
AWAY Celje
31% Ball Possession 69%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Mura vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mura and Celje fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Celje at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mura had 31% of the ball to Celje's 69%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mura and 3.00 for Celje.

What was the final score of Mura vs Celje?

Mura 0-0 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mura 31%, draw 25%, Celje 45%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Celje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
16 Feb 2025
19:30 Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta Analysis →