Fortaleza CEIF vs Boyaca Chico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Fortaleza CEIF v Boyaca Chico — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza CEIF vs Boyaca Chico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 Boyaca Chico — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza CEIF squeezed past Boyaca Chico 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Fortaleza CEIF had 63% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 37%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.55 to 0.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fortaleza CEIF's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 0.50 for Boyaca Chico.
Fortaleza CEIF vs Boyaca Chico Result & Final Score
Fortaleza CEIF 2 - 1 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Fortaleza CEIF vs Boyaca Chico Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 56%, draw 28%, Boyaca Chico 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.