Deportivo Cali 1-0 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 16 Feb 2026

📅16/02/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.75
Over
48%
1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
2%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Deportivo Cali The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional The Market 45%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.29 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.59
1.61 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.11
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
237 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.00 xG 1.36
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
217 Passes 345
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.10.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
21.04.2025 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
10.10.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
17.02.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 3-2 HT 2-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
07.08.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
13.02.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
1 - 0
AWAY Atletico Nacional
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
202 Passes 317
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
REVIEW Deportivo Cali vs Atletico Nacional
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Deportivo Cali shaded a tight game against Atletico Nacional 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

We leaned Atletico Nacional at 43% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both. At 1.88 (~53%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

By the numbers, Deportivo Cali had 41% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 59%, shots finished 13-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cali had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.17 for Atletico Nacional.

Deportivo Cali vs Atletico Nacional Result & Final Score

Deportivo Cali 1 - 0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Deportivo Cali vs Atletico Nacional Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 30%, draw 27%, Atletico Nacional 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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