Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportes Tolima v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportes Tolima 2-1 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima squeezed past Once Caldas 2-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Deportes Tolima had 59% of the ball to Once Caldas's 41%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.78 to 0.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.17 for Once Caldas.
Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas Result & Final Score
Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 44%, draw 31%, Once Caldas 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.