Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alajuelense v Sporting San Jose — Team-Based Signals
Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alajuelense 1-2 Sporting San Jose — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting San Jose edged past Alajuelense 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Alajuelense at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alajuelense had 71% of the ball to Sporting San Jose's 29%, shots finished 18-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alajuelense and 0.17 for Sporting San Jose.
What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?
Alajuelense 1-2 Sporting San Jose in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 48%, draw 26%, Sporting San Jose 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.