Sporting San Jose 1-2 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 28 Jul 2025

📅28/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-1.9pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.5pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +24%
1.48/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.97
+34% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Alajuelense
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
13.02.2025 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
07.11.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
20.09.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
05.05.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
13.01.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting San Jose
1-2
AWAY Alajuelense
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense nicked a narrow win over Sporting San Jose 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sporting San Jose had 52% of the ball to Alajuelense's 48%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Sporting San Jose and 0.83 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs Alajuelense?

Sporting San Jose 1-2 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 28/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 24%, draw 32%, Alajuelense 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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