Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Municipal Liberia v Deportivo Saprissa — Team-Based Signals
Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Municipal Liberia 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Saprissa edged past Municipal Liberia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Municipal Liberia had 49% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 51%, shots finished 8-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.00 for Deportivo Saprissa.
What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Municipal Liberia 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 34%, draw 24%, Deportivo Saprissa 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.