Municipal Liberia 2-2 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.51/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.29
+26% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
02.02.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-3 HT 1-2 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
29.11.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
04.08.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 HT 2-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
17.04.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
11.02.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
2-2
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia and Deportivo Saprissa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 45% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 55%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.83 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Municipal Liberia 2-2 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 33%, draw 30%, Deportivo Saprissa 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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