Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 1 Dec 2025

📅01/12/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
2.01/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.35
+8% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
443 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
17.03.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
02.02.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-3 HT 1-2 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
29.11.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
04.08.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 HT 2-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
17.04.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3-1
AWAY Municipal Liberia
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa got the better of Municipal Liberia 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 58% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 42%, shots finished 8-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.50 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?

Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 56%, draw 25%, Municipal Liberia 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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