AFC Fylde 1-2 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.38
Over 2.5
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
21%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
6.97
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.15 — our 26% vs market 14.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.31
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
10%
4.57
X/2
10%
8.79
X/X
11%
5.82
2/1
8%
20.8
2/2
10%
5.73
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.2pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.66/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.59
+1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wealdstone
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 3-2 HT 1-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
1-2
AWAY Wealdstone
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone edged past AFC Fylde 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Fylde at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 55% of the ball to Wealdstone's 45%, shots finished 17-12.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Wealdstone?

AFC Fylde 1-2 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 44%, draw 28%, Wealdstone 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Fylde), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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