Woking 1-0 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 16 Mar 2024

Woking
1-0 HT 0-0
Barnet
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - National League – 2023/2024

Woking vs Barnet Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.56
6+ Goals
8%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.03
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
13%
6.83
X/2
13%
4.51
X/X
13%
4.8
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.82
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Woking v Barnet — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Woking EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.25/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.53
-4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Woking vs Barnet Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Woking
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Barnet
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Barnet Barnet 2-0 HT 1-0 Woking Woking İBSL
28.03.2023 Woking Woking 1-1 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
20.08.2022 Barnet Barnet 2-0 HT 1-0 Woking Woking İBSL
19.03.2022 Barnet Barnet 0-2 HT 0-1 Woking Woking İBSL
27.11.2021 Woking Woking 1-2 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
20.02.2021 Barnet Barnet 0-2 HT 0-1 Woking Woking İBSL

Woking 1-0 Barnet — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Woking
1-0
AWAY Barnet
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Woking vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Woking nicked a narrow win over Barnet 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Woking found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Woking had 44% of the ball to Barnet's 56%, shots finished 7-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Woking and 1.17 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Woking vs Barnet?

Woking 1-0 Barnet in the England - National League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Woking vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Woking 34%, draw 28%, Barnet 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barnet), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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