16/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Ljutomer vs Videm Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
42%
4-5
21%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
3%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
45%
27%
Draw
28%
27%
Away Win
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ljutomer v Videm — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ljutomer
The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
Videm
The Market 31%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+67% /
+67%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+37%
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
296 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
282 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Ljutomer vs Videm Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ljutomer
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Videm
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
59%
Ball Possession
41%
21
Total Shots
9
9
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
7
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Ljutomer vs Videm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Videm squeezed past Ljutomer 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Ljutomer at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Ljutomer vs Videm?
Ljutomer 1-2 Videm in the Slovenia - 3.SNL on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ljutomer vs Videm?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ljutomer win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ljutomer 47%, draw 27%, Videm 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Ljutomer)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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16 Mar 2024