Almeria II 2-1 Deportiva Minera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportiva Minera EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.66/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.22
+28% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportiva Minera
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 23
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera 1-3 HT 0-1 Almeria II Almeria II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria II
2-1
AWAY Deportiva Minera
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Almeria II vs Deportiva Minera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria II edged past Deportiva Minera 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Almeria II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Almeria II had 44% of the ball to Deportiva Minera's 56%, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of Almeria II vs Deportiva Minera?

Almeria II 2-1 Deportiva Minera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria II vs Deportiva Minera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Almeria II 43%, draw 27%, Deportiva Minera 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almeria II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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