Anguiano 0-2 Alfaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anguiano EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfaro EU Bookmakers 37%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anguiano
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Alfaro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
03.11.2024 Alfaro Alfaro 1-2 HT 1-0 Anguiano İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anguiano
0-2
AWAY Alfaro
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Anguiano vs Alfaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfaro got the better of Anguiano 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Alfaro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Anguiano had 49% of the ball to Alfaro's 51%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Anguiano vs Alfaro?

Anguiano 0-2 Alfaro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anguiano vs Alfaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anguiano win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Anguiano 35%, draw 31%, Alfaro 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Anguiano), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anguiano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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