Barbastro 3-0 Real Sociedad III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barbastro EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +5%
1.26/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.21
-10% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
287 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barbastro
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Sociedad III
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.51 xG 1.26
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
206 Passes 497
63% Pass Accuracy 83%
6 Crosses 32
6 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 1-0 HT 0-0 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
16.12.2023 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 0-1 HT 0-1 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barbastro
3-0
AWAY Real Sociedad III
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Barbastro vs Real Sociedad III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barbastro cruised past Real Sociedad III 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barbastro as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Barbastro had 46% of the ball to Real Sociedad III's 54%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Barbastro and 0.50 for Real Sociedad III.

What was the final score of Barbastro vs Real Sociedad III?

Barbastro 3-0 Real Sociedad III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barbastro vs Real Sociedad III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barbastro win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Barbastro 48%, draw 25%, Real Sociedad III 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barbastro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barbastro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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