CD Coria 2-0 Colonia Moscardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Coria EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 24%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.19/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.36
+42% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Coria
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
02.11.2024 Colonia Moscardo 2-1 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Coria
2-0
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Coria vs Colonia Moscardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Coria got the better of Colonia Moscardo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Coria as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, CD Coria had 69% of the ball to Colonia Moscardo's 31%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of CD Coria vs Colonia Moscardo?

CD Coria 2-0 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Coria vs Colonia Moscardo?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Coria win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CD Coria 46%, draw 27%, Colonia Moscardo 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Coria), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Coria) ✓ Under 2.5
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