Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2-1 Pena Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
2-1 HT 1-1
Pena Deportiva
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2024/2025

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Pena Deportiva Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas v Pena Deportiva — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ibiza Islas Pitiusas EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 30%
-18% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.48/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.09
+15% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Pena Deportiva Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Pena Deportiva
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 0-0 HT 0-0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas İS4
19.03.2023 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 0-3 HT 0-1 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
30.10.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 2-1 HT 0-0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas İS4
20.03.2022 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1-3 HT 1-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
31.10.2021 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 0-0 HT 0-0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas İS4

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2-1 Pena Deportiva — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
2-1
AWAY Pena Deportiva
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Pena Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas squeezed past Pena Deportiva 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Ibiza Islas Pitiusas found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ibiza Islas Pitiusas had 53% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 47%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pena Deportiva led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas and 1.60 for Pena Deportiva.

What was the final score of Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Pena Deportiva?

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2-1 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Pena Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ibiza Islas Pitiusas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 38%, draw 30%, Pena Deportiva 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ibiza Islas Pitiusas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ibiza Islas Pitiusas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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