Llanera 1-1 Real Avila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.8pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.7pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanera EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Avila EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.40/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.49
+34% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +108%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llanera
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Avila
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
03.11.2024 Real Avila Real Avila 2-0 HT 0-0 Llanera Llanera İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llanera
1-1
AWAY Real Avila
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Llanera vs Real Avila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanera and Real Avila couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Llanera had 50% of the ball to Real Avila's 50%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Llanera vs Real Avila?

Llanera 1-1 Real Avila in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanera vs Real Avila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llanera win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Llanera 37%, draw 31%, Real Avila 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Llanera), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llanera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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