Sabadell 4-0 UD Alzira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.53
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Sabadell win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-10.4pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.4pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.1pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabadell EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Alzira EU Bookmakers 12%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
0.74/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.70
-60% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabadell
0W-1D-0L
AWAY UD Alzira
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 4
27.11.2024 UD Alzira UD Alzira 0-0 HT 0-0 Sabadell Sabadell İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sabadell
4-0
AWAY UD Alzira
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sabadell vs UD Alzira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabadell swept aside UD Alzira 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sabadell as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sabadell had 54% of the ball to UD Alzira's 46%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Sabadell vs UD Alzira?

Sabadell 4-0 UD Alzira in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabadell vs UD Alzira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabadell win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Sabadell 61%, draw 22%, UD Alzira 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabadell), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sabadell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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