Salamanca 1-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salamanca EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.22/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.58
-13% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salamanca
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-2 HT 1-1 Salamanca Salamanca İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salamanca
1-1
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salamanca vs Gimnastica Torrelavega
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salamanca and Gimnastica Torrelavega couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Salamanca at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Salamanca had 50% of the ball to Gimnastica Torrelavega's 50%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Salamanca vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Salamanca 1-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salamanca vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salamanca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Salamanca 43%, draw 27%, Gimnastica Torrelavega 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Salamanca), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salamanca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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