Sant Andreu 1-2 Elche II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+11.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sant Andreu EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche II EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.02/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.59
+32% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 187 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sant Andreu
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Elche II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.11.2024 Elche II Elche II 1-1 HT 0-0 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sant Andreu
1-2
AWAY Elche II
70% Ball Possession 30%
24 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Sant Andreu vs Elche II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche II nicked a narrow win over Sant Andreu 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Sant Andreu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sant Andreu had 70% of the ball to Elche II's 30%, shots finished 24-9.

What was the final score of Sant Andreu vs Elche II?

Sant Andreu 1-2 Elche II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sant Andreu vs Elche II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sant Andreu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sant Andreu 42%, draw 27%, Elche II 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sant Andreu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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