Union Sur Yaiza 0-4 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 50%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.98/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.81
+4% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
288 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Sur Yaiza
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Talavera CF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
03.11.2024 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Sur Yaiza İS4
POST-MATCH Union Sur Yaiza vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF swept aside Union Sur Yaiza 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (29% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Talavera CF found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Union Sur Yaiza vs Talavera CF?

Union Sur Yaiza 0-4 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Sur Yaiza vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Union Sur Yaiza 29%, draw 30%, Talavera CF 40%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talavera CF), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
16 Mar 2025
13:30 Cornella vs Mallorca II Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Xerez Deportivo Analysis →
13:30 Illescas vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
14:00 Conquense vs Melilla Analysis →
14:00 Real Madrid III vs Cacereno Analysis →
14:00 Rayo Majadahonda vs CD Guadalajara Analysis →