Basel 1-2 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 16 Mar 2025

Basel
1-2 HT 0-1
Young Boys
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2024/2025

Basel vs Young Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
23%
2.79
6+ Goals
12%
7.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.93
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
6%
11.85
X/1
16%
5.47
X/2
8%
7.04
X/X
13%
5.52
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
14%
4.35
2/X
5%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.4pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Basel v Young Boys — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.74/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.35
-18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.2 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Basel vs Young Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Young Boys
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.21 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
358 Passes 324
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.10.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 3-2 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
06.10.2024 Basel Basel 1-0 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
10.03.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 5-1 HT 3-0 Basel Basel İSV
27.01.2024 Basel Basel 1-0 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
08.10.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 2-0 Basel Basel İSV
16.04.2023 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV

Basel 1-2 Young Boys — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
1-2
AWAY Young Boys
1.96 xG 2.30
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 2
411 Passes 251
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 42
22 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Basel vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys edged past Basel 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Basel at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Basel had 60% of the ball to Young Boys's 40%, shots finished 20-19, expected goals 1.96 to 2.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Basel and 2.00 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Basel vs Young Boys?

Basel 1-2 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Basel 45%, draw 24%, Young Boys 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Basel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5
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