Young Boys 3-2 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.65
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
13%
4.84
X/2
12%
7.45
X/X
11%
5.48
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
14%
4.84
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.44/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.52
+15% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
24.2 Crosses 15.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Basel
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.10
47% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
307 Passes 350
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Basel Basel 1-0 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
10.03.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 5-1 HT 3-0 Basel Basel İSV
27.01.2024 Basel Basel 1-0 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
08.10.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 2-0 Basel Basel İSV
16.04.2023 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
04.04.2023 Basel Basel 2-4 HT 0-2 Young Boys Young Boys İSVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
3-2
AWAY Basel
1.91 xG 1.49
51% Ball Possession 49%
27 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 7
304 Passes 302
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
46 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys nicked a narrow win over Basel 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Young Boys made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Young Boys had 51% of the ball to Basel's 49%, shots finished 27-16, expected goals 1.91 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Young Boys and 1.00 for Basel.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs Basel?

Young Boys 3-2 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 40%, draw 26%, Basel 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Young Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Young Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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