Trapani 1905 1-2 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 31% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trapani 1905 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.43/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.37
-10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trapani 1905
0W-0D-1L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 2-1 HT 1-0 Trapani 1905 Trapani 1905 İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trapani 1905
1-2
AWAY SSC Giugliano
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trapani 1905 vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano squeezed past Trapani 1905 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Trapani 1905 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trapani 1905 had 57% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 43%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Trapani 1905 vs SSC Giugliano?

Trapani 1905 1-2 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trapani 1905 vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trapani 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Trapani 1905 45%, draw 30%, SSC Giugliano 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trapani 1905) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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