Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals
Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
1-1
HT 0-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
Stuttgart 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen squeezed past Stuttgart 4-3 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Stuttgart had 43% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 57%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 2.34 to 1.74 — on chances, Stuttgart could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stuttgart and 1.50 for Bayer Leverkusen.
What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Stuttgart 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 30%, draw 26%, Bayer Leverkusen 44%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.