MTK Budapest 3-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
MTK Budapest win — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.5pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.75/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.85
-14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
476 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 75%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
22.7 Crosses 18.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.68 xG 1.01
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
417 Passes 200
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-0 HT 2-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
03.08.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-0 HT 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
03.04.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-1 HT 0-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC2
05.10.2022 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-0 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC2
25.04.2015 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-1 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
05.10.2014 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-0 HT 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
3-0
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.81 xG 0.87
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
387 Passes 302
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest swept aside Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had MTK Budapest as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 56% of the ball to Nyiregyhaza Spartacus's 44%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.81 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for MTK Budapest and 1.00 for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

MTK Budapest 3-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus in the Hungary - NB I on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 52%, draw 21%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MTK Budapest), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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