Puskas FC 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.11
6+ Goals
14%
10.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.11 — our 27% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-11.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
2.05/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.07
-2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
25.7 Crosses 13.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.44 xG 1.38
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
461 Passes 257
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 4-2 HT 3-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.08.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
26.04.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
07.02.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
29.09.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
07.05.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 HT 2-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
2-1
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
0.75 xG 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
340 Passes 347
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC squeezed past Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Puskas FC had 49% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 51%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.75 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalaegerszegi TE led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Puskas FC and 1.67 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Puskas FC 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 49%, draw 26%, Zalaegerszegi TE 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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