MOL Fehervar 0-0 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.31
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.76/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.36
+10% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 69%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
21.0 Crosses 17.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MOL Fehervar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Diosgyor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 Passes 328
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-0 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
30.10.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 2-1 HT 0-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MACK
03.08.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-1 HT 1-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
18.05.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 0-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
24.02.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 4-0 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
28.10.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 4-0 HT 2-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MOL Fehervar
0-0
AWAY Diosgyor
0.72 xG 0.57
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 5
175 Passes 424
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MOL Fehervar vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MOL Fehervar and Diosgyor fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was MOL Fehervar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, MOL Fehervar had 35% of the ball to Diosgyor's 65%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.72 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MOL Fehervar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for MOL Fehervar and 1.17 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs Diosgyor?

MOL Fehervar 0-0 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MOL Fehervar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 43%, draw 29%, Diosgyor 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (MOL Fehervar), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MOL Fehervar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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