Ferencvaros 4-0 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Ferencvaros win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-14.0pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+12.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
2.22/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.82
+0% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
37.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
27.8 Crosses 15.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.81 xG 0.59
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
485 Passes 194
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 0-1 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
03.08.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
03.03.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-0 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
05.11.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-1 HT 2-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
27.09.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
13.05.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-0 HT 1-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
4-0
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
3.43 xG 0.14
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
541 Passes 297
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros swept aside Kecskemeti TE 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 62% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 38%, shots finished 13-2, expected goals 3.43 to 0.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ferencvaros and 0.67 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Kecskemeti TE?

Ferencvaros 4-0 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 55%, draw 21%, Kecskemeti TE 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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