Roda 0-1 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 16 Mar 2026

Roda
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Vitesse
📅16/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.23
Over Pick
62%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.51
No
39%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.22
2-3
42%
1.83
4-5
29%
2.75
6+
11%
7.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.8
1/2
2%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
15%
5.09
X/2
10%
7.03
X/X
14%
5.49
2/1
3%
21.8
2/2
17%
4.6
2/X
6%
13.05
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Roda The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse The Market 33%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.74 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.61
1.25 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.68
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vitesse
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.69 xG 1.03
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
332 Passes 314
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.10.2025 Vitesse Vitesse 2-2 HT 2-1 Roda Roda HOL2
19.04.2025 Vitesse Vitesse 3-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
26.11.2024 Roda Roda 3-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
31.03.2018 Vitesse Vitesse 0-3 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL
18.08.2017 Roda Roda 1-3 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
14.05.2017 Vitesse Vitesse 3-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
0 - 1
AWAY Vitesse
1.41 xG 1.14
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
490 Passes 265
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
38 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Roda vs Vitesse
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vitesse nicked a narrow win over Roda 1-0 on the road.

Our pre-match lean was Roda at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Roda had 62% of the ball to Vitesse's 38%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.41 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitesse led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roda and 1.83 for Vitesse.

Roda vs Vitesse Result & Final Score

Roda 0 - 1 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Roda vs Vitesse Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Roda 45%, draw 25%, Vitesse 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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