AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 MVV Maastricht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 16 Mar 2026

AZ Alkmaar II
1 - 1 HT 1 - 0
MVV Maastricht
📅16/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

AZ Alkmaar II vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
14%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
28%
2.96
Over Pick
72%
1.4
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.51
No
39%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
12%
6.55
2-3
37%
2.11
4-5
34%
2.34
6+
17%
4.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1.66
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.2
X/1
19%
4.23
X/2
5%
13.6
X/X
8%
8.32
2/1
4%
17.4
2/2
7%
9.53
2/X
4%
18.05
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

AZ Alkmaar II v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME AZ Alkmaar II The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY MVV Maastricht The Market 19%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.13 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.97
1.15 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.37
Weak Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

AZ Alkmaar II vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
3W-0D-3L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.01 xG 1.15
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
487 Passes 292
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.11.2025 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-3 HT 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
14.03.2025 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 0-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
02.12.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 HT 1-2 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
03.05.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 HT 1-2 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
01.12.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 4-0 HT 2-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
28.04.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-3 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2

AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
1 - 1
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.66 xG 0.51
59% Ball Possession 41%
30 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
441 Passes 265
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
41 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 16
REVIEW AZ Alkmaar II vs MVV Maastricht
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

AZ Alkmaar II and MVV Maastricht finished all square at 1-1. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

Our model won't enjoy this one — AZ Alkmaar II at 69% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (72%) missed.

By the numbers, possession split 59% to 41% in AZ Alkmaar II's favour, shots finished 30-10, expected goals 2.66 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for AZ Alkmaar II against 2.00 for MVV Maastricht.

AZ Alkmaar II vs MVV Maastricht Result & Final Score

AZ Alkmaar II 1 - 1 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AZ Alkmaar II vs MVV Maastricht Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 69%, draw 17%, MVV Maastricht 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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