MVV Maastricht vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MVV Maastricht v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
MVV Maastricht 1-3 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar II put daylight between themselves and MVV Maastricht 3-1 on their travels. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
From a near-even 38% / 24% / 38% read, it was AZ Alkmaar II who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (66%) came in.
The match data tells the story: AZ Alkmaar II saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.23 to 2.77.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for MVV Maastricht against 1.83 for AZ Alkmaar II.
MVV Maastricht vs AZ Alkmaar II Result & Final Score
MVV Maastricht 1 - 3 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
MVV Maastricht vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 38%, draw 24%, AZ Alkmaar II 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.