America de Cali 1-1 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 16 Mar 2026

📅16/03/2026 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
21%
3.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.61
Over
40%
2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
48%
4-5
16%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
2%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME America de Cali The Market 53%
Signal
AWAY Deportes Tolima The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.46 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.99
0.75 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.36
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
362 Passes 292
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
13.06.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
08.06.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
24.02.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
02.12.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 4-2 HT 1-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
28.11.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1 - 1
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.64 xG 1.46
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
345 Passes 266
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 29
30 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left America de Cali and Deportes Tolima with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was America de Cali at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 56% to 44% in America de Cali's favour, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.64 to 1.46.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for America de Cali against 1.33 for Deportes Tolima.

America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima Result & Final Score

America de Cali 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 49%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (America de Cali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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