Jaguares De Cordoba 1-2 Independiente Medellin — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Colombia - Primera, 16 Mar 2026

Jaguares De Cordoba
1 - 2 HT 1 - 0
Independiente Medellin
📅16/03/2026 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2026

Jaguares De Cordoba vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.83
Over
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
2%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Jaguares De Cordoba v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba The Market 30%
Signal
AWAY Independiente Medellin The Market 49%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
0.98 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.83
1.27 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.98
Average Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Weak
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3

Jaguares De Cordoba vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.72 xG 1.86
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
249 Passes 397
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.08.2025 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOLK
01.08.2025 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOLK
29.10.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4-1 HT 2-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
08.04.2024 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
03.09.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
20.03.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL

Jaguares De Cordoba 1-2 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
1 - 2
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.65 xG 1.17
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
133 Passes 396
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Jaguares De Cordoba vs Independiente Medellin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Independiente Medellin squeezed past Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1 on their travels. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, Independiente Medellin saw more of the ball, 70% to 30%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.65 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Jaguares De Cordoba against 1.67 for Independiente Medellin.

Jaguares De Cordoba vs Independiente Medellin Result & Final Score

Jaguares De Cordoba 1 - 2 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Jaguares De Cordoba vs Independiente Medellin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jaguares De Cordoba 24%, draw 28%, Independiente Medellin 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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