Estoril U23 1-0 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 16 Mar 2026

📅16/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.9pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.43/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.31
-8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Farense U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2025 Farense U23 Farense U23 1-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
21.08.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-2 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
17.12.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
30.09.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-3 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
1-0
AWAY Farense U23
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 nicked a narrow win over Farense U23 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Estoril U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 48% of the ball to Farense U23's 52%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estoril U23 and 1.25 for Farense U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Farense U23?

Estoril U23 1-0 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 38%, draw 27%, Farense U23 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril U23), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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