Fukushima United 2-3 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.19
Away Pick
61%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
1.97
Over
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.03
No
45%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
38%
4-5
32%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
46%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Kashiwa Reysol win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+5.7pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.4pp
61%
Away Win
66%
-5.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
45%
+10.2pp
45%
BTTS No
55%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 70%
+70% / +70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
6.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.42
+150% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +113%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fukushima United
2-3
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fukushima United vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol edged past Fukushima United 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fukushima United had 42% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 58%, shots finished 9-18.

What was the final score of Fukushima United vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Fukushima United 2-3 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - League Cup on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fukushima United vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Fukushima United 19%, draw 20%, Kashiwa Reysol 61%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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