Imabari 3-4 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.82
Over
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.05
2-3
36%
1.75
4-5
30%
3.54
6+
8%
14.45
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.54 — our 30% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imabari EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imabari
3-4
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 27
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Imabari vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka edged past Imabari 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cerezo Osaka as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Imabari had 34% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 66%, shots finished 14-27.

What was the final score of Imabari vs Cerezo Osaka?

Imabari 3-4 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - League Cup on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imabari vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Imabari 22%, draw 28%, Cerezo Osaka 50%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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