Aston Villa 2-0 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 16 May 2025

Aston Villa
2-0 HT 0-0
Tottenham
📅16/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.3
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.89
Over 2.5
56%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.38
2-3 Goals
42%
2.12
4-5 Goals
24%
2.42
6+ Goals
13%
4.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.47
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
20.4
X/1
16%
4.07
X/2
8%
19.5
X/X
13%
9.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.2
2/2
9%
15.05
2/X
5%
23.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.2 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
72%
-18.8pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.1pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+11.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
31%
+12.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
69%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aston Villa v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
2.05/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.04
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -13%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
490 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 79%
34.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
20.4 Crosses 12.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Tottenham
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.47 xG 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
325 Passes 465
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.02.2025 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-1 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham FAK
03.11.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 4-1 HT 0-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
10.03.2024 Aston Villa Aston Villa 0-4 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
26.11.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 1-2 HT 1-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
13.05.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-1 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
01.01.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 0-2 HT 0-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP

Aston Villa 2-0 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa
2-0
AWAY Tottenham
1.39 xG 0.51
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
522 Passes 217
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aston Villa vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa beat Tottenham 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aston Villa had 68% of the ball to Tottenham's 32%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.39 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aston Villa and 1.83 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Tottenham?

Aston Villa 2-0 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 54%, draw 23%, Tottenham 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aston Villa) ✗ Over 2.5
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İNP More England - Premier League
16 May 2025
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